Washout first
At least one prior RTH one-minute close must print below the running VWAP. The signal bar cannot create its own permission.
Paper 08 · Resurrection file 02 · July 30, 2026
Tide lives.
The claim got stricter.
V-ENT is the sole champion: wait for a real intraday washout, then buy the recovery. The engine is repaired, the recent replay matches exactly, and the weaker ORB sleeve is quarantined. This is evidence for paper trading—not an income promise.
ChampionTIDE V-ENT
Version2.1-RC1
Research size1 MNQ
Live ordersOFF
2026 · JAN 01 — JUL 29
Hypothetical one-MNQ replay after modeled commissions.
$1,744.50SIMULATED NET
2.43PROFIT FACTOR
44.23%TRADE HIT RATE
−$275.50MAX CLOSED DD
The actual strategy
Buy recovery after proof of weakness.
Tide is a one-minute NQ signal evaluated with one MNQ in research. The V-ENT gate prevents the core and reclaim entries from buying a day that only extended upward: price must have closed below same-session VWAP on an earlier completed bar.
Recovery confirms
The fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA inside locked time and VWAP-distance gates. Weak-range and open-chop filters still apply.
Enter next bar
No same-close fill. The engine enters on the following bar's open and gives the stop priority when stop and target collide.
Fixed first, managed later
The base long starts with an 80-point target and 20-point stop. Existing managed-stop, max-hold, failure, and 15:58 flatten rules remain intact.
Evidence gates
Good enough to resurrect.
Not cleared for live.
The frozen 2017–2026 tape remains strong, and the fresh May–July replay matches the reference trade-for-trade. The random-control test is below our own threshold, so the status stays watch / paper-shadow.
May 2017 — June 2026 · NQ reference simulation
- Simulated net
- $117,670
- Profit factor
- 1.63
- Trade hit rate
- 40.67%
- Start-zero DD
- −$8,517
Fresh replay parity
16 / 16 exactFresh calendar violations
0 tradesIS and OOS improvement
Both positiveLeave-one-year-out
10 / 10Random-control percentile
92.7th / needs 95thForward resurrection paper
0 / needs 60 sessionsEvery month pays $250 + fee
NoFRESH BAR FILE63,094 one-minute bars
REPLAY WINDOWMay 26 — July 29
TRADE PARITY16 / 16 exact
BLACKOUT VIOLATIONS0
Subscription economics
The average works.
The promise does not.
One MNQ averaged $249.21 gross per month in the seven observed 2026 months. After a hypothetical $100 subscription that becomes $149.21, with March and June below zero. A fee can be evaluated; a $250-every-month promise cannot be supported.
MONTH1 MNQ GROSSAFTER $100RESULT
JAN$372$272CLEARS $250
FEB$174$74POSITIVE
MAR−$210−$310NEGATIVE
APR$420.50$320.50CLEARS $250
MAY$746.50$646.50CLEARS $250
JUN$19.50−$80.50NEGATIVE
JUL$222$122POSITIVE
$249.21 average simulated gross · $149.21 after a $100 fee · 3 of 7 months clear $250 after the fee.
$498.43 average simulated gross · $398.43 after a $100 fee · 4 of 7 months clear $250 · worst month −$520.
We do not increase size to manufacture the subscription claim. Pricing follows validated value and full loss disclosure.
Sharpened with iron
New ideas had to earn entry.
Two pre-registered coverage modules attacked Tide-idle days using completed five-minute trend and one-minute triggers, next-bar fills, five-bar maximum holds, and same-gate random controls. Both lost. They stay out.
- Trades
- 34
- PF
- 0.95
- Null pctile
- 71.1
REJECT FOR DEPLOYMENT
- Trades
- 28
- PF
- 0.37
- Null pctile
- 3.85
REJECT FOR DEPLOYMENT
- Tide DD
- −$275.50
- Book DD
- −$652.50
DISABLED · PROBATION
The autonomous loop
Research can nominate.
It cannot promote itself.
Every daily run begins with immutable inputs and ends with a written decision. Any model can operate the loop because fill rules, null tests, rejection gates, and the authority boundary are explicit.
Freeze
Hash the bars, calendar, engine, manifest, and date before analysis.
Replay
Match every paper signal, entry, exit, and dollar result. Any mismatch stops the loop.
Diagnose
Classify wins, losses, avoided losses, no-trade days, and missed moves with causal context.
Lock
Write one exact hypothesis and its rejection threshold before seeing the result.
Attack
Run friction, split, regime, neighbor, leave-one-out, and 2,000 random-control tests.
Decide
Reject, keep researching, or nominate for human review. The loop cannot self-promote code.
Final verdict
Resurrect the edge.
Keep the certainty dead.
Tide V-ENT is materially better than the recent Tide + ORB research book, its fresh replay is exact, and its 2026 risk-adjusted simulation supports a serious paper campaign. It has not passed the 95th-percentile placebo gate, has zero new forward sessions, and cannot support a universal $250-per-month claim.
✓ CHAMPION RESTORED✓ ORB DISABLED× LIVE PROMOTION BLOCKED× INCOME GUARANTEE BLOCKED